March 12th Thrilling Picks Select Picks

RACE 1

Must Use #1, 6

Significant factors: dirt pedigree, distance pedigree, last purse

RACE 2
Must Use #1, 2
Contender #8

#1English Laughter has the E2 pace advantage
#2Grey Beau has the earnings, jockey and trainer advantages

RACE 3
Must Use #1, 3, 8
Contender #4

The ML favorite #4Foggy Flight has the speed advantage but this attribute actually has not helped past horses win this race profile. Notice, the jockey change to a rider that has a lower win rate than it’s last pilot. The 1, 3, 8 should provide better choices.

RACE 4

Must Use #7, 10
Contenders #3, 4, 8, 9

For this race type, we must go wide

The favorite #4 Gearhead lacks a strong E2 pace, so we will omit it from the larger tickets.

The #10 Rudiger has the late pace and horses beat% advantage, these factors have helped past longshots win this race profile.

RACE 5

Must Use #5, 8
Contenders #3

#5 Himelstein has the jockey advantage

HOW WE’RE BETTING

$0.50 PK5 1,6/1,2/1,3,8/3,4,7-10/5
$0.50 PK3 1,6/1,2,8/1,3,4,8

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It is the time of year when the three-year olds start sorting themselves out and looking for Kentucky Derby points and status. On Saturday we have the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park, typically a more respected Derby prep race than...

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